DRF Tournaments
BillM's Record:
Wins/Races Profit (loss)
6/30 $13.70


Last Week's Picks:

Race: Gasparilla

Win: Molto Bella
Place: Another Time
Show: Into the South

 

Comments:

$125K - Gasparilla - Tampa Bay Downs Race 9

As usual with this time of year, tricky race with a lot of shippers coming in off of layoffs.

2) - Into the South - Looked OK as a distant third in Spendthrift Juvenile despite wide trip. Settled in here in Florida for two months now working sharply in the morning.

3) - Twixt and Shout - Never run a bad one for Godolphin/Harty, turning back off her maiden breaker at 8.5 furlongs.

4) - Bella Ciao - Bumped around at start of 75K Hut Hut, asked through turn. Slight check in stretch, probably should’ve been second. Cut back could help.

6) - Molto Bella - Good second two back while stalking a hot pace to a filly that was runner up in G2 Santa Ynez. Trainer I. Wilkes must think she is talented to ship all the way to NY for Demoiselle, didn’t make much impact though. Back to one turn, I wouldn’t overlook this one.

7) - Another Time - Woodbine invader has fired in all three lifetime starts. Interesting to note, winning jockey makes the trip to Florida. Stepping stone to bigger and better things?

9) - Into Trouble - Limited works off nearly 3-month vacation for filly that aired in first two lifetime starts at this distance. No show in G1 Alcibiades while taking overland route in strung out field. Who knows, maybe she hated Keeneland?

10) - Souper Escape - Returns to dirt after a turf tightener at Gulfstream. Probably wasn’t beating much in one turn maiden breaker.

Race: SM F&M Turf

Win: Mrs. Ramona G.
Place: Warranty
Show: Starship Jubilee

 

Comments:

$150K - Sunshine Millions F & M Turf - Gulfstream Race 10

This race gives me a headache, a lot of runners want to be forwardly placed.

Defending champ/morning line favorite 13) Starship Jubilee enters off same race pattern as last year. I expect Castellano to send her away from another wide post draw. Graded winner obvious class of the bunch.

I’m interested in 8) Mrs. Ramona G. She scratched out of 75K Tropical Oaks last month but notched a measured win on New Year’s Day versus a decent allowance field. Jockey L. Saez knows her well and could sit another good trip just off the pace.

Late running 4) Warranty hasn’t been seen in a couple months. Should have a legitimate pace to try and run down.

Pletcher sends three newly turned four-year-olds and on paper, they kind of look like the same horse to me.

I’m stabbing in this one.

Race: SM Classic

Win: Noble Drama
Place: Forevamo
Show: Mr. Jordan

 

Comments:

$200K - Sunshine Millions Classic - Gulfstream Park Race 11

1) Dalmore - Only third start under the care of A. Quartarolo, his hand is forced from the rail. Likely caught up in a duel with frontrunner Jay’s Way; has fired fresh before though.

2) Forevamo - Looks like Asmussen has had enough time to figure out this gelding. No brainer to ship from FG and run versus statebreds for more money than the Louisiana on the LeComte undercard. Should sit a good trip.

4) Mr. Jordan - Seven-year-old has carved out a nice career in the Sunshine State. I just can’t take him at this distance.

5) Weisser - Exiting two sprints, he is likely to inject more pace toward the front. Faded to fourth in his only two turn race; pass.

6) Noble Drama - Holds some appeal with his running style. Also exiting a sprint, ran into buzzsaw World of Trouble over a sloppy track at Tampa. Would need to step forward to win.

7) Jay’s Way - Defending champ, third off the shelf. Likely pointed to this but will be challenged every step, I’m against him today.

8) Souper Tapit - No, this isn’t a great field but I don’t get 2/1 ML on this horse. Maybe folks are keying in on his Saratoga races this summer.

Race: LeComte

Win: Tackett
Place: Manny Wah
Show: Plus Que Parfait

 

Comments:

$200K - G3 LeComte - Fair Grounds Race 12

Very wide open race to kickoff the Road to Derby 145.

1) Wicked Indeed - One of two for S. Asmussen; loses go-to rider Santana to Tight Ten. Still upside in his second attempt at route of ground. Tapit colt wasn’t asked inside of 1/8 pole last out.

2) Malpais - Unknown commodity first time long; trainer J. Sharp bats 20% with last out maiden winners.

3) Tackett - Fired in all three lifetime starts, already two wins at this trip in New Orleans. Makes a lot of sense especially if taking another step forward. As usual, Stidham/Bravo duo firing on all cylinders.

7) Roiland - Late running homebred is adding blinkers for T. Amoss barn - usually a positive angle. Most recent works have been much sharper; should be longer than 12/1?

8) War of Will - Rolled over a sealed/sloppy CD surface which is allegedly kind to turfers. Anyhow, Casse seems optimistic with Gaffalione taking a flight in from GP to see if he’s the goods.

11) Tight Ten - Connections probably wish they could have his BC Juvenile back after bouncing off the rail and maybe waited for KY Jockey Club three weeks later. Santana opts for this runner (which is usually telling). Local works sharp, likely to be up close/on the lead.

12) Plus Que Parfait - Was it the slop? Was it the hot pace? Was it Leparoux? I don’t know why he wound up so far behind in the KY Jockey Club. Either way, he ran well enough. Proven at two turns, he makes sense.

13) Manny Wah - Only two off-the-board starts are at Churchill. Just too close to hot pace in 100K Street Sense. Not sure why Catalano decided to add blinkers for the Sugar Bowl. Regardless, I thought he ran well there. Needs to break sharp from this far outside post.


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