DRF Tournaments
Stivo's Record:
Wins/Races Profit (loss)
11/58 $72.00


Last Week's Picks:

Race: Secretariat

Win: Carrick
Place: Captivating Moon
Show: Lucius Tiberius

 

Comments:
Ahhh, Million Day! Awesome card in the NW burbs of Chi-Town. I'll be at hand for the festivities. I'll be playing several horizontal wagers, and the Super High Five in R12.

Me & my father have been waiting for Carrick since the Kent. Although my Dad has always been a tad higher on him, his last race was an eye opener for me. I selected Golden Brown that day, but CARRICK may have won if he was more settled, and not so rank. He started his career by beating older foes, albeit in a $40K MDN race and Starter, but he got big figs for a 3YO, and I think he can improve a ton in the Secretariat. Johnny V comes back, and most likely told the connections that he had the best horse. If you watch a replay of the Kent, Velasquez pulled up on the reins a few times, and was very high on the saddle. He was very crowded, for maybe a 1/2 mile; He never got a great spot, and gutted out a 3rd. I liked the gallop out. Although he won from the 1 hole 2-back, it certainly did him no favors in that last, so I'm happy that he's off the rail in here. The price will be mouthwatering. I think that the extra panel will also be no problem.

Captivating Moon ran an incredible race in the AMERICAN DERBY. I was at the track that day for the AP Contest, and the turf was a 1-lane expressway! If you got to the front, you won. As a result, REAL STORY romped. I don't think that scenario plays out in here. If the AP sod is playing more fair, Captivating Moon can grab a huge piece of this. Seems to be stuck on seconditis though.

Of the Euro's, I like Lucius Tiberius best. I was disappointed in HUNTING HORN in the Belmont Derby, and Tiberius now gets that first juice angle off a 2-race win streak.

Analyze It will be on most of my tickets as a saver. He's talented, and no Catholic Boy in here to spoil his fun. Price is predictable. A bomber is Dubby Dubbie. Maybe a good Super play.

Race: Fasig-Tipton Lure

Win: Zennor
Place: Forge
Show: Projected

 

Comments:
Honestly, I'm not going to look at SAR on Saturday (except this race) and I just gotta think that McLaughlin has Zennor ready off that year long vacay. Tons of speed in here, and I loved that drill on the sod 8/6. Bravo/McLaughlin kill it everywhere. Expect this guy to join in at the 1/4 pole, and roll over the top of the field.

Race: Beverly D.

Win: Dona Bruja
Place: Inflexibility
Show: Fourstar Crook

 

Comments:
I'm not going to get too long winded for this race. I like Dona Bruja, a lot! I selected her last year, and maybe Cannon moved too early? She has been training steadily for this spot since Keeneland. All of the drills are solid, and I like that Valdivia rides. You cannot blame Jose Ortiz for defecting, as he always rides first call for Chad Brown, but Valdivia knows this AP course like the back of his hand. She'll be in a perfect spot turning for home, and she'll get first run on those deep closers. She likes this distance, and local sod. The main danger may be Inflexibility. I like her the best of the"Brownies."

Race: Arlington Million

Win: Robert Bruce
Place: Almanaar
Show: Money Multiplier

 

Comments:
I was hoping that Robert Bruce would land here. This dude flat out likes to win. His last race was a straight up fiasco in the lane. He never got to get in a full run, until basically after the wire. He galloped out well. He is another who has drawn poorly in both US starts, being stuck down on the rail. In here, he actually draws beautifully on the outside, as the Million is run with a slight turn about 50 yards out of the gate. The 1 post can be problematic in this race. Irad Ortiz gets the mount, and I think he's salivating to unleash this guy in the lane. As good as Gaffalione is, this is an upgrade. I located a replay of his Grade-1 win down in Chile at 10 furlongs, he toyed with this group, and any doubts about him getting the distance should be squashed!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sQZ5j0PN8BE

Strong work tab since his last loss, so Chad Brown has always had this race in mind. I just like how this guy keeps coming in the lane. If he gets clear sailing, he may devastate this bunch.


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